11 Toyota. CHRISTOPHER BELL (3): Bell said after his win at New Hampshire last month, This is not going to be our only win this year. The 2022 NASCAR at Michigan green flag drops at 3 p.m. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Michigan State vs. Iowa game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.. 2023 Frontstretch NASCAR DraftKings League Now, here are my picks! Hes ended up 9th or better in five of his last nine Michigan starts and has ended up inside the top 10 in ten of the last twelve Stages here. FantasyCPR.com is the #1 Fantasy NASCAR site Fantasy NASCAR Picks Recap of the Pure Michigan 400 Welcome back to our fantasy NASCAR coverage for the 2015 season. Comments from first time commenters are automatically held for moderation by Frontstretch staff. Trying to find a sleeper pick with odds is just a good way to rack your brain because you cant make up your mind of which 50/1 driver you should pick for you team.

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. Visit SportsLine now to see DFS millionaire Mike McClure's complete driver pool for DraftKings and FanDuel, and cash in big on NASCAR DFS. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. 2021 Fantasy Racing Tips. In 2022 over the combined races at high-speed intermediate tracks (Auto Club, Las Vegas Kansas and Charlotte), Larson has a series best 3.5 average finish, the best driver rating and his Track Type Total Speed Ranking is the 4th best. Michigan Track History Kyle Busch is an elite performer at Michigan who currently has nine straight results between 3rd to 10th. Try it out! GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. The email address is not publicly visible or shared. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. The combination of a new nose and whatever gains teams made over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, I think the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. I will take a chance with the No. ET. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. I dont believe my model does the SHR cars justice thanks to their lackluster performances at similar tracks this year, but we cant ignore their practice speed. The green flag will drop at 3 p.m. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. KYLE BUSCH (3): All the talk about Busch not running well because he is distracted by the contract discussions is nonsense. Usually the scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses. Now for the video breakdown! Perhaps most surprisingly, Cole Custer ($6200)hung right with his teammates in practice times, making him a very sneaky tournament play. And then the third table is the last four races of data from here at Michigan specifically. Ryan Blaney ($9300):Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. Kyle Larson is the defending winner, going to victory lane after a tight battle with his teammate Chase Elliott. I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. Brad Keselowski's first year with RFK Racing hasn't gone as planned as he sits 29th in Cup Series standings after finishing in the top eight in each of the past five years. 20 car is just another fast Toyota this weekend. Michigan is one of my favorite tracks. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. This week, Carl Edwards and Jimmie Johnson are both at 7/1, so picking either of these two drivers as your lead driver could be seen as the safe pick. Stenhouses salary is a little high, but could be a nice fill-in for your lineups on DraftKings. Rain and snow washed out practice and qualifying on Saturday, so we have no data to analyze ahead of Sundays race. The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series' Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway goes green on Sunday, Feb. 26. 11 car Sunday. A California native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001. All photos and statistics are used with permission from NASCAR Media Group. Unlike Blaney, I dont mind being equal or even slightly overweight to the field on Bowman in tournaments. Absolutely, but not likely. He finished 5th, 2nd, 6th and 2nd in his last four races at Michigan. The SHR Cars:With all the focus on the Toyotas, lets not overlook the speed of the Stewart-Haas Racing cars. Auto Club DraftKings DFS Tournament Picks. Drivers also can earn .45 for each fastest lap and .25 for each lap they lead. Christopher Bell ($9000):Im going back to the Bell well, simply for no reason other than hes been ridiculously fast at similar tracks this year. The NASCAR Cup Series schedule continues on Sunday with the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Your email address will not be published. 22 car Sunday. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. In race #1 2020, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.6 average running position, recorded the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 5th overall. 6-keys: media/spln/nascar/reg/free/stories, at Grab This Top 10 Prop Bet For The NASCAR Race At Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Watkins Glen NASCAR Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order (Go Bowling At The Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling Michigan is a 2-mile race track. Consider donating to support byclicking here. The green flag drops at 3 p.m. On Saturday, Erik will start from back in 23rd and I really like his top 10 finishing potential with that place differential potential. Add in his fast practice and qualifying times, and we have a nice contrarian play to Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. The second table is data from the three races on 2-mile race tracks last season (one race at Auto Club and two races here at Michigan). Illinois is averaging 74.2 points while their defense is giving up 65.6 points per game. Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. On the other hand, Ryan Blaney is of great value, starting in the 24th spot. On the right side, theyre bringing the same tires that were used in the Kansas and Las Vegas races this year. As mentioned in my DFS YouTube video this week, Reddick is a great pivot or combination driver with the chalk place differential plays priced a little higher. There are 200 laps scheduled for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday, which means were looking at 50 DraftKings FPTS up for grabs for laps led. With one Michigan victory already under his belt in 2011, Busch is still experiencing only successes at the D-shaped oval track. WebSportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2 million in winnings, gives his top NASCAR daily Fantasy picks That came just four weeks after his first win -- and he also had a runner-up in between -- so Reddick is streaking heading into Michigan. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. The Cup Series visits Auto Club just once per season, meaning teams havent raced here in a year a race that was also the first at an intermediate track in the Next Gen car. Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. Fifth Driver: Brian Vickers (16.4): Rounding out the team with Vickers offers the best chance for a scoring a top 15 finish for driver in this price range.Total Team Value: 99.4. Every year I see Fantasy Live players make the same mistake. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. Bell ranks third in my newly developed FLAGS rankings at similar tracks, and he starts on the front row alongside Toyota stablemate Bubba Wallace. He starts back in 35th and even on a bad day should be fast enough to get a top 28 finish. Hes low enough salary-wise that he should hit value if he earns a good result on Sunday. You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here. NASCAR Fantasy Rankings: DFS Picks on DraftKings for NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan Pearce Dietrich gives his picks and ranks his top drivers for Sundays NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan, which locks at 3 p.m. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview and, Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview, NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Busch Makes First Move, Climbs Into No. The NASCAR Cup Series is headed to the Irish Hills of Michigan this weekend for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. The Toledo Rockets (23-6, 14-2 MAC) battle the Central Michigan Chippewas (10-19, 5-11) Tuesday. I will use an allocation with Truex Sunday. While he won twice at road courses last year, he also won at Texas Motor Speedway, surviving the flat-tire plagued race. Despite posting strong results in this race in recent years, Busch hasn't won in Vegas since 2009, but he looks set to recapture his dominant form, now with RCR. WebAug 5, 2022 63 Dislike Share Stokastic DFS - Daily Fantasy Sports Advice 77.6K subscribers Top 5 NASCAR Cup FireKeepers Casino 400 Fantasy picks and predictions. Joey Logano, Austin Dillon, Daniel Suarez and Denny Hamlin were the only full-time Cup Series drivers who bested Almirolas average finish of 12.3 in these events last year. While leading on lap 158, Larson ran out of fuel. He led 23 laps on the way to the victory. The best way to utilize the odds is to look at guys who are anywhere from 5/1 to 10/1 and build your team around these drivers. Before we jump into my picks, dont forget all my NASCAR projections can be found in the NASCAR Models on FantasyLabs, complete with floor, ceiling, median, and ownership projections. WebNASCAR and its marks are trademarks of the National Association for Stock Car Auto Racing, LLC. 5 Hendrick Motorsports driver had some good green flag speed last year at the high tire wear tracks as well as Michigan International Speedway, the other 2-mile course on the circuit. 19 team knows they need a win this week. Last year, NASCAR bettors had Michigan DraftKings NASCAR Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown, go here and subscribe to my YouTube channel, Homestead DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Dixie Vodka 400), Kansas 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Hollywood Casino 400), Darlington 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Cook Out Southern 500), Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Zero Sugar 400), Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling At The Glen), Richmond 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Federated Auto Parts 400), Sharps Moving NASCAR Betting Lines For Auto Club Speedway Race. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. No wins yet. The Keselowski from previous years would have been a ridiculous value in Michigan starting from the 33rd slot. Sign Up Now, *Eligible USA locations only. That could be a perfect slot to provide value with a great chance of winning Or it can be a DFS wasteland where he doesnt move at all. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. If you That means Im willing to be more aggressive in choosing fast cars, regardless of where they start, instead of leaning into place differential more. Now, RCR isnt as strong as the other teams, but it does have some wins in recent years. Trailing Busch is 2021 Cup Series champ Kyle Larson, who finished runner-up in this race last year, but has had a lackluster start to 2023, with finishes of 18th and 29th to kick off the campaign. McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. The fifth and final spot on a fantasy team may not seem that important, but I believe selecting a good fifth driver is what separates good teams from bad teams. Copy this into the source of your page where you want the article to appear: Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. Tyler Reddick ($9700):If theres one driver whos likely to break up the Toyota dominance, its last weeks winner at Indy, Tyler Reddick. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Aric Almirola. Do not worry about allocations anymore. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. Fantasy Golf Picks for Arnold Palmer Invitational, Fantasy Live / Driver Group Game Questions. In fact, if you want to positively correlate them in the optimizer settings while building lineups, Id suggest that avenue. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. This week's sleeper pick is Brian Vickers, and adding Vickers would be a smart pick up for almost any team owner. Kevin Harvick ($8400) and Aric Almirola ($6800)put up solid practice times, with little tire falloff over the long run. Michigan has long been a great track for Busch, and in 2022 at high-speed intermediate tracks where theres correlation, Busch has been fast and has been a contender to win the last three races. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. Hes fast this weekend, has been fast at similar tracks, and starts close enough to the front to reduce his usage levels. Daytona 500 Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Rankings/ Post Duel Predictions. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. While my model pegs him at about 20% usage, I believe the model is overstating that by several percentage points. The latest in the sports world, emailed daily. Two weeks ago, two of McClure's core picks finished in the top 10: Kyle Larson (fifth place) and Erik Jones, who finished ninth after starting 34th in the grid. Reddick had the second-best average speed during the green-flag runs at Fontana, but Erik Jones was the fastest. Michigan always puts on a good show and I expect the same this week. Over the past three races at Michigan, Smoke has had an AFP of 6.0, and when his price is 22.4, it is hard not to put the two-time champion on your team. Hamlin runs up front and scores very well in Fantasy Live one week and then he looks like complete garbage the next week. When Busch won in 2019, he dominated, leading 134 laps. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. I say shockingly because, frankly, that is not usually the case. Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. Also, I will be hosting a free NASCAR DraftKings league that will run each week for the Cup Series only. This pattern repeats for 21st through 30th and 31st through 40th. The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries for Saturday. The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Larsons been the premiere performer at minimal wear intermediates this year (Las Vegas, Kansas and Charlotte), and if it wasnt for a late caution at Kansas he would be 3 for 3 at reaching Anybody who has followed his picks has seen huge returns. A former Vegas bookmaker, For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). Sharp NASCAR bettors are at it again, and it appears like sportsbooks didn't learn their lesson from the 2022 season. Now we can actually look at which drivers you should look at picking up this week before the race.