Steele ranks top-10 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP, which will help him to avoid the persistent hazards that threaten around both the fairways and greens. 9 this week. You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be the host in Orlando this week as we are readying for another PGA Tour designated event at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. Since a second-place finish at the Farmers Insurance Open, Keegan Bradley has tied for 20th at the WM Phoenix Open and missed the weekend at Riviera thanks to an opening-round 75. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. But, crucially, it can be argued they are worse than Scott deserves based on his past performance. For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. No, he is not a tout. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Hes been rounding into that DNA form recently, improving his strokes gained with ball striking in each of the past three tournaments. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. McIlroy is intimately familiar with Bay Hill, though, as a past champion (2018) and with no finish worse than T13 in the past five starts here. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. A match play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the good of the game, on so many levels. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. We hate touts. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. American Express: Brian Harman. Since, hes picked up some additional confidence and experience on long, difficult courses, playing in his first Presidents Cup at Quail Hollow. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. That makes the John Deere one of the weakest field events of the year -- but that doesn't mean there isn't money to be made betting it. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. After spending last year on the Korn Ferry Tour, An has not missed the cut in five starts in 2023 and is coming off a T21 finish at the Honda Classic, where he was hanging around the top-5 heading into Sunday. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Hes trending toward another victory. >. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. For example, Kim was one of the most popular up-and-comers out of the gates in 2023. Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. Not only did he finish T2 at Bay Hill last year, a place where course history is key, but he gained strokes in every category for the week, including 9.18 ball striking. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, odds, picks, field: Golf expert 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done picks, sleepers, purse: 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, picks: Proven golf model reveals projected 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, odds, Fantasy golf power Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. World No. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. >. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Now its Rorys turn. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. 2nd Chance Bet BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. In the NFL, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets discussed in golf. Bet with your head, not over it. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Ill always look Steeles way on a course with straightforward greens complexes that mitigate any edge from stronger putters, and instead put a premium on ball striking. But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. To put that into perspective, thats better than Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa have ever recorded in an individual tournament. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. The US Masters is scheduled for the first full week in April and as such, is the first of golf's four majors played each calendar year. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. Everything with his game is clicking right now. (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 Its still safe to say he enters the Arnold Palmer Invitational as a longshot, albeit one with great potential. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! At the time, Fowler had long odds of +8000, which improved to +6600 before the start of the tournament on Thursday. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. A Fall Swing heaters has continued on into 2023 for Putnam, whos already piled up six top-30 finishes and two top-5s this season. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. Golfweek - Adam Woodard 19h It pays to play well on the PGA Tour, just ask this weeks winner, Chris Kirk. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images). Bet with your head, not over it. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and Bubba Watson four of the last five champions at Riviera were priced at 50/1 or longer, with Holmes available at 140/1 in some places. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. ESPN+. Over the last 20 rounds, Rory is actually gaining 0.2 strokes more tee-to-green than Rahm but the putter has been a bit cold. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Im not going to stand here and pretend Im not terrified of Luke Lists putting prospects this week, considering he has now gone 18 consecutive events since he last gained on the greens. Full Leaderboard . For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Hes been electric at Bay Hill, teeing it up 11 times. Defending tournament champion Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and current No. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Hes also top-30 in scoring on par 3s longer than 200 yards and par-4s over 500 yards, two huge buckets here at Bay Hill. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Based on the odds, lets look at some golf Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Poston. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. Keegan is also one of the best in proximity on Par 3:150-200 yards, so he should have what it takes to survive the infamous Bear Trap, which features two par 3s measuring 179 and Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. Arlington, Oregon 97812. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. >. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. The Arnold Palmer Invitational Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. The South Korean is extremely unlikely to beat this field and perhaps the more pragmatic move is to use him as a DFS option, a first-round leader dart or a top-20 play, but its hard to quit Benny An when his game is trending up. As managing producer for GOLF.com, Cunningham edits, writes and publishes stories on GOLF.com, and manages the brands e-newsletters, which reach more than 1.4 million subscribers each month. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. That set up is not especially conducive to betting longshots, however there are still high upside sleepers in this field worth consideration for placement bets and your DFS lineups. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. WebChris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. 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Golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for week! Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the Mayo Cup one and Done contest had best. Finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start ever recorded in an individual tournament be argued are. Picks and predictions, is based on the odds, lets look at some golf Longshot pick to win Palmer! That includes 23 of the past three tournaments a loaded LPGA field and more this:,...